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Paul Prouse 19/05/2026 Paul Prouse 19/05/2026

New Caledonia: Pro-independence, pro-France, and Government groups seek to re-balance power during 28 June elections, ahead of renewed negotiations

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Paul Prouse 19/05/2026 Paul Prouse 19/05/2026

Vanuatu: Government highly likely to continue a hedging strategy between China and traditional partners

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Paul Prouse 19/05/2026 Paul Prouse 19/05/2026

Vanuatu: Police 60-day public order campaign likely to see isolated violent incidents in Port Vila

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Paul Prouse 19/05/2026 Paul Prouse 19/05/2026

Fiji: Vuvale Union with Australia unlikely to significantly alter the already favourable bilateral relationship

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Paul Prouse 19/05/2026 Paul Prouse 19/05/2026

Fiji: Joint operations almost certain to continue, currently maintain broad public support

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Paul Prouse 05/05/2026 Paul Prouse 05/05/2026

Bougainville: Government highly likely to negotiate on behalf of mine operator to resolve landowner dispute

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Paul Prouse 05/05/2026 Paul Prouse 05/05/2026

Solomon Islands: New Commissioner very likely to privately favour China over traditional partners

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Paul Prouse 05/05/2026 Paul Prouse 05/05/2026

Solomon Islands: Opposition likely to win motion of no confidence on 7 May

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Paul Prouse 05/05/2026 Paul Prouse 05/05/2026

Vanuatu: Government intervention unlikely to contain transport operator grievances

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Paul Prouse 05/05/2026 Paul Prouse 05/05/2026

Fiji: Increased tempo of military and police counter-drug operations almost certain to continue over the next four weeks

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Paul Prouse 05/05/2026 Paul Prouse 05/05/2026

Niue: Cost of living not a significant driver for change in general election

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Paul Prouse 21/04/2026 Paul Prouse 21/04/2026

Papua New Guinea: Junior PNGDF soldiers highly likely to protest investigation findings if no consequences for senior ranks over recruitment corruption

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Paul Prouse 21/04/2026 Paul Prouse 21/04/2026

Solomon Islands: Despite delay sought with appeal, PM Manele unlikely to retain power if parliament convenes in near-term

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Paul Prouse 21/04/2026 Paul Prouse 21/04/2026

Solomon Islands: Periodic strikes likely to occur unless TDP delivers a credible settlement

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Paul Prouse 21/04/2026 Paul Prouse 21/04/2026

New Caledonia: Progress on political future unlikely until after provincial elections to be held before 28 June

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Paul Prouse 21/04/2026 Paul Prouse 21/04/2026

Fiji: Change in RFMF's support role to Police unlikely following death in custody

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Paul Prouse 21/04/2026 Paul Prouse 21/04/2026

Region: Dengue risk increase in multiple countries over coming months

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Paul Prouse 07/04/2026 Paul Prouse 07/04/2026

West Papua: Latest attack and Indonesian security operation a symptom of ongoing escalation rather than a trigger

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Paul Prouse 07/04/2026 Paul Prouse 07/04/2026

Papua New Guinea: Government intervention averts service disruption amid compounding health crises

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Paul Prouse 07/04/2026 Paul Prouse 07/04/2026

Solomon Islands: Opposition has the initiative, favourable court ruling highly likely to boost motion of no confidence, whereas delay will favour Prime Minister Manele

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