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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

Solomon Islands: Removal of primary industry tax exemptions likely intended to address corruption and increase revenue

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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

Solomon Islands: Suspension of Police Commissioner likely an impartial accountability measure and not politically motivated

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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

New Caledonia: No decisive victory for pro-France or independence parties following provincial elections

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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

Vanuatu: Teachers' strike threat likely to proceed if Government fails to present a credible payment plan

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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

Samoa: PM Schmidt likely to raise Treaty of Friendship review after New Zealand November general election

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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

Region: El Niño effects begin in Melenesia and is likely to compound existing food and assistance pressures

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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

Region: National budgets seek to manage growth and cost of living pressures without full austerity

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Paul Prouse 16/06/2026 Paul Prouse 16/06/2026

Papua New Guinea–Bougainville: Three-quarter threshold requirement unlikely to be met during August vote

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Paul Prouse 16/06/2026 Paul Prouse 16/06/2026

Solomon Islands: Prime Minister Wale almost certain to continue favouring traditional partners over China

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Paul Prouse 16/06/2026 Paul Prouse 16/06/2026

New Caledonia: Provincial elections are unlikely to provide a clear pro-France or pro-independence majority

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Paul Prouse 16/06/2026 Paul Prouse 16/06/2026

Fiji: Government almost certain to continue joint counter-drug operations

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Paul Prouse 16/06/2026 Paul Prouse 16/06/2026

Tonga: MP Convictions likely to trigger by-elections and cabinet reshuffle

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Paul Prouse 16/06/2026 Paul Prouse 16/06/2026

Samoa: Raised fuel alert level used to trigger internal department actions rather than indication of supply shortage

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Paul Prouse 16/06/2026 Paul Prouse 16/06/2026

Region: Multiple countries begin preparation for El Niño disruption

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Paul Prouse 02/06/2026 Paul Prouse 02/06/2026

Papua New Guinea: Minimal risk from submarine volcanic eruption

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Paul Prouse 02/06/2026 Paul Prouse 02/06/2026

Fiji: Delayed local elections unlikely to affect democratic stability

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Paul Prouse 02/06/2026 Paul Prouse 02/06/2026

Region: Fuel crisis assistance likely to remain bilateral

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Paul Prouse 02/06/2026 Paul Prouse 02/06/2026

Region: Enhanced regional cooperation likely to disrupt Pacific drug trafficking but not address structural issues for permanent reduction

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Paul Prouse 02/06/2026 Paul Prouse 02/06/2026

Region: Recent US infrastructure and investment initiatives likely aim to challenge China’s competitive advantage

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Paul Prouse 19/05/2026 Paul Prouse 19/05/2026

Solomon Islands: New Prime Minister likely to maintain a measured approach toward China while prioritising ties with traditional partners

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