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Paul Prouse 11/08/2026 Paul Prouse 11/08/2026

New Caledonia: New pro-France political leadership prioritises economic situation rather than political future

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Paul Prouse 30/06/2026 Paul Prouse 30/06/2026

New Caledonia: No decisive victory for pro-France or independence parties following provincial elections

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Paul Prouse 19/05/2026 Paul Prouse 19/05/2026

New Caledonia: Pro-independence, pro-France, and Government groups seek to re-balance power during 28 June elections, ahead of renewed negotiations

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Paul Prouse 21/04/2026 Paul Prouse 21/04/2026

New Caledonia: Progress on political future unlikely until after provincial elections to be held before 28 June

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Paul Prouse 07/04/2026 Paul Prouse 07/04/2026

New Caledonia: Progress or pause on New Caledonia’s political future to be decided at Prime Minister’s meeting beginning 7 April

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Paul Prouse 24/03/2026 Paul Prouse 24/03/2026

New Caledonia: Local election results indicate underwhelming support for pro-independence FLNKS negotiating position

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Paul Prouse 10/03/2026 Paul Prouse 10/03/2026

New Caledonia: Pro-independence FLNKS likely focused on local elections and 31 March Paris vote

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Paul Prouse 24/02/2026 Paul Prouse 24/02/2026

New Caledonia: FLNKS continue focus on votes rather than instability ahead of tight Paris debate over New Caledonia’s political future

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Paul Prouse 10/02/2026 Paul Prouse 10/02/2026

New Caledonia: Pro-independence party Union Calédonienne’s focus on peaceful dialogue and local elections likely indicates decreased youth support

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Paul Prouse 27/01/2026 Paul Prouse 27/01/2026

New Caledonia: New Accord likely only small progress toward long-term settlement

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Paul Prouse 02/12/2025 Paul Prouse 02/12/2025

New Caledonia: 8 December Congressional vote will indicate whether Bougival referendum to go ahead in March 2026

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Paul Prouse 09/09/2025 Paul Prouse 09/09/2025

New Caledonia: France likely to continue with Bougival Agreement despite fall of French Government

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Paul Prouse 26/08/2025 Paul Prouse 26/08/2025

New Caledonia: French Government to continue with Bougival process and seek popular referendum in February 2026

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Paul Prouse 13/08/2025 Paul Prouse 13/08/2025

New Caledonia: Bougival agreement almost certainly to be pursued despite opposition by pro-Independence groups

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Paul Prouse 30/07/2025 Paul Prouse 30/07/2025

New Caledonia: Extreme pro-Independence group creates uncertainty around recent political agreement

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Paul Prouse 16/07/2025 Paul Prouse 16/07/2025

New Caledonia: Political agreement almost certain to continue to reduce tensions

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Paul Prouse 16/07/2025 Paul Prouse 16/07/2025

Vanuatu: Prime Minister Napat leverages the Nakamal Agreement re-signing to Vanuatu’s interest

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Paul Prouse 02/07/2025 Paul Prouse 02/07/2025

New Caledonia: Nationwide ban on alcohol to preserve public order

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Paul Prouse 18/06/2025 Paul Prouse 18/06/2025

New Caledonia: Local issues exacerbated by ongoing political tension, centralised large scale violence unlikely while political negotiations continue

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Paul Prouse 18/06/2025 Paul Prouse 18/06/2025

Fiji: Donated uncrewed air systems will provide minimal capability enhancements in the short-term

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